Market news – Week 3, September 2022

金融市場從上週開始出現劇烈的趨勢變化，通脹成為焦點。 整體而言，由於聯邦儲備局的行動和美國新的經濟數據，金融市場交易於低迷狀態。

Forex

聯邦儲備主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾的強硬語調被交易商拒絕，他們期待通脹保持適中，並在九月加息後聯邦儲備的政策會收緊。 然而，價格的上漲依然不懈。 August's Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.6% (MoM), above forecasts. 其他消費者物價指數的指標也有上升，這使得市場預期將上調 100 個基點的利率。

EUR/USD 貶值，對於糟糕的美國數據，例如令人失望的零售銷售預估，只能小幅反彈。 就名義而言，通脹的增速已超越消費。

關於貨幣政策，歐洲中央銀行（ECB）官員大多數支援在十月大幅加息。 這與歐洲央行行長克里斯蒂娜·拉加德最近利率決策後，更微妙的立場形成對比。

儘管歐元奮力抵抗，但美元似乎緊緊防守。

GBP/USD 未能保持反彈，下降約 200 個點。 這對的價格在本週結束時出現下跌，交易於 $1.1500 之下。 這對價格的下降可能是因為英國的零售銷售數據令人失望。 Sales volumes in the retail sector declined by 1.6% in August, continuing with the summer of 2021 trend.

本週對市場來說非常重要，因為聯邦儲備與英格蘭銀行將就加息作出決定。

透過最新的市場新聞提升交易策略，並在 Deriv X Financial 帳戶交易差價合約。

Commodities

黃金在本週開始時約為 $1,720。 As the US dollar continued to rise, gold dropped to its lowest level since April 2020 and finished the week at a notably lower price of $1,675, just under 3% from its price at the start of the week.

That being said, the expectation of a significant rate hike by the Fed on Wednesday, 21 September 2022, appeared to be a crucial factor exerting downward pressure on gold on the final day of the week.

同時，銀價從約 $18 開始交易，最終在約 $20 收盤。 儘管對美國中央銀行收緊政策可能導致經濟衰退的擔憂日益增加，但美國的經濟統計顯示，消費者信心持續改善，推動了這一貴金屬價格的上升。

由於市場對全球能源需求長期下滑的擔憂，WTI 價格徘徊在 $85 附近。 Because of the same reasons mentioned above, oil prices have fallen by around a quarter in the last 3 months. 

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund warned of an imminent global economic downturn in late 2022/23, weighing on morale. Furthermore, the strong US inflation data released earlier last week boosted the US dollar, which hurt the market (because oil is traded in US dollars, making it costlier for overseas customers).

Cryptocurrencies

全球加密貨幣市場上週大幅下跌，所有主要的加密貨幣均報告虧損。 The previous week's uptrend was short-lived as the global market capitalisation returned to the sub-$1 trillion level, and the trading volume stood at the mid-$60 billion mark. 

比特幣一如既往地成為暴風中心。 On Tuesday, 13 September 2022, the largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalisation dropped from the $22,500 level to the $20,400 level, sending the crypto market into a frenzy. The coin experienced further losses during the week and is trading at $19,716.64 at the time of writing. 

Bitcoin's market value stood at around $370 billion, and the trade volume was approximately $30 billion. The token has slumped by 12.5% in the last 6 days.

Meanwhile, the Merge effect seems to have worn off as Ethereum followed Bitcoin's footsteps, dropping below the $1,400 level for the first time since mid-July. 

Bitcoin’s decline and Ethereum's price drop after the Merge have also been reflected in other altcoins, such as Litecoin and Dogecoin, which dropped by 15% and 11%, respectively. 

在其他新聞中，總統喬·拜登概述了加密貨幣規範的計劃，因為政府意識到數字資產在促進創新和支援國家技術進步方面的重要性。 

透過更完善的交易策略，並在 Deriv Trader 以期權和 multipliers 交易 financial 市場以充分利用市場機會。

美國股市 

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The stock market fell sharply as inflation fears intensified, and short-term bond yields reached levels last seen in 2007. The S&P 500 index fell by around 4.77%,  its biggest weekly decline since June. 此外，增長股表現最差，科技股重的納斯達克 100 指數下跌近 5.77%，道琼斯工業平均指數下跌約 4.13%。

Within the S&P 500 index, shares of communication services and information technology fell as Google parent Alphabet and Facebook parent Meta Platforms hit new 52-week lows. 工業和材料領域也遭受損失。

According to the consumer price index (CPI) data released on Tuesday, 13 September 2022, which exceeded expectations, traders began losing faith in the notion that "peak inflation" had passed. 價格上漲了 8.3%，高於市場共識預測的 8.1%。 However, the increase in core inflation (excluding food and energy) was alarming. 其增長達到 6.3%，為三月以來的最高水平，且高於 6.1% 的預測。

本週的重點將集中在聯邦開放市場佣金（FOMC）會議上，因為美聯儲強調降低通脹而非確保強的經濟需求。

了解了上週金融市場的效能以後，現在您可以改善策略並在 Deriv MT5 交易差價合約。