Market news – Week 3, September 2022

金融市场的趋势发生了骤变，因通胀问题成为焦点。 总体而言，由于美联储的措施及美国的新经济数据，金融市场普遍下跌。

Forex

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的强硬言辞遭到交易者拒绝，他们预期通胀会温和，并预计美联储在九月加息后政策会收紧。 然而，价格上涨的势头却是无法阻挡的。 August's Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.6% (MoM), above forecasts. 其他CPI指标也上升，导致市场对加息100个基点的预期。

由于糟糕的美国数据，例如零售销售预期令人失望，EUR/USD的汇率下跌，仅小幅反弹。 从名义上看，通胀增速超出消费增速。

在货币政策方面，欧洲央行(ECB)官员们一致支持十月份大幅加息。 这与欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德在最近加息决定后更为微妙的态度形成对比。

即使欧元竭力抗争，美元似乎依旧坚守。

GBP/USD未能保持反弹，约下跌200个点。 该货币对在本周收盘时处于负值，交易价格低于$1.1500。 该货币对的价格下跌可能是由于英国零售销售表现令人失望。 Sales volumes in the retail sector declined by 1.6% in August, continuing with the summer of 2021 trend.

本周对市场来说将是重要的一周，因为美联储和英格兰银行将决定加息。

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Commodities

黄金在本周初的交易价约为$1,720。 As the US dollar continued to rise, gold dropped to its lowest level since April 2020 and finished the week at a notably lower price of $1,675, just under 3% from its price at the start of the week.

That being said, the expectation of a significant rate hike by the Fed on Wednesday, 21 September 2022, appeared to be a crucial factor exerting downward pressure on gold on the final day of the week.

与此同时，银价在约$18的水平开始交易，并最终达到约$20。 尽管人们对美联储收紧政策可能导致衰退的担忧加剧，但美国经济数据却显示消费者信心继续改善，使得这种贵金属的价格上涨。

由于担心全球能源需求长期下降，WTI价格徘徊在$85附近。 Because of the same reasons mentioned above, oil prices have fallen by around a quarter in the last 3 months. 

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund warned of an imminent global economic downturn in late 2022/23, weighing on morale. Furthermore, the strong US inflation data released earlier last week boosted the US dollar, which hurt the market (because oil is traded in US dollars, making it costlier for overseas customers).

Cryptocurrencies

全球加密货币市场上周崩溃，所有主要加密货币均以跌势交易。 The previous week's uptrend was short-lived as the global market capitalisation returned to the sub-$1 trillion level, and the trading volume stood at the mid-$60 billion mark. 

比特币如同往常一般，依旧是风暴的中心。 On Tuesday, 13 September 2022, the largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalisation dropped from the $22,500 level to the $20,400 level, sending the crypto market into a frenzy. The coin experienced further losses during the week and is trading at $19,716.64 at the time of writing. 

Bitcoin's market value stood at around $370 billion, and the trade volume was approximately $30 billion. 该代币在过去6天内大幅下跌了12.5%。

Meanwhile, the Merge effect seems to have worn off as Ethereum followed Bitcoin's footsteps, dropping below the $1,400 level for the first time since mid-July. 

Bitcoin’s decline and Ethereum's price drop after the Merge have also been reflected in other altcoins, such as Litecoin and Dogecoin, which dropped by 15% and 11%, respectively. 

In other news, President Joe Biden outlined the plans for cryptocurrency regulation as the government realises the importance of digital assets in fostering innovation and supporting the country's technological advancement. 

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美国股市 

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The stock market fell sharply as inflation fears intensified, and short-term bond yields reached levels last seen in 2007. The S&P 500 index fell by around 4.77%,  its biggest weekly decline since June. 此外，成长型股票表现最差，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数下跌近5.77%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌约4.13%。

Within the S&P 500 index, shares of communication services and information technology fell as Google parent Alphabet and Facebook parent Meta Platforms hit new 52-week lows. 工业和原材料部门的股票也遭受重创。

According to the consumer price index (CPI) data released on Tuesday, 13 September 2022, which exceeded expectations, traders began losing faith in the notion that "peak inflation" had passed. 物价上涨了8.3%，高于市场普遍预期的8.1%的增幅。 However, the increase in core inflation (excluding food and energy) was alarming. It reached 6.3%, its highest level since March and higher than the estimate of 6.1%.

本周的焦点将是联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议，因为美联储强调降低通货膨胀比确保强劲的经济需求更为重要。

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