Market news – Week 1, October 2022

上周，由于利率上升、货币和债券市场极度波动以及对经济衰退的担忧，导致交易者近期面临的不确定性加剧。

Forex

EUR/USD 货币对上周开局不利，跌至接近 $0.9540，然后在周中逆转局势实现显著上涨。 它在周末结束时约在 $0.9800。

能源价格的上涨促使欧洲通胀再度飙升，欧元区宣布其关键通胀指数在九月份按年增长10%，高于八月份的9.1%。

A possible concern of the European Central Bank (ECB) is that an increase in borrowing rates in Europe might harm debt-ridden nations. However, the ECB is expected to raise its main refinancing rate on Thursday, 27 October, with a 0.75% increase to keep up with the US central bank.

EUR/USD 可能对美国的通胀统计数据作出反应，这些数据显示消费者价格依然高企。 美国的消费支出数据也有所增加，表明尽管通胀上升，美国人民仍然继续消费。

到周末时，GBP/USD 也逆转方向，从周初的 $1.068 涨至大约 $1.168。

英国政府在减少税收同时推动经济发展的目标未能实现。 After markets deemed the government's new economic policy unsuitable, the Bank of England (BOE) was compelled to interfere.The BOE indicated that it would temporarily purchase long-term UK government bonds (gilts) to restore market functioning. 这种即时反应提升了英镑汇率。

This week, S&P Global will publish the final September Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index estimates for the EU and the US. 欧盟将公布其八月份的零售销售数据，而美国将在本周结束时发布九月份的非农就业报告。 The country is predicted to have gained 250K new jobs this month, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.

由于本周没有来自英国的高影响数据发布，交易者将密切关注政治头条和英国国债市场的动态。

利用最新的市场报告改善交易策略，并在 Deriv X 账户交易差价合约。

Commodities

上周金价呈上升趋势，周初为 $1,643，周末约为 $1,663。 XAU/USD 的上涨归因于全球债券利率的下降。

英格兰银行宣布暂时购买长期国债，导致10年期美国国债收益率下降超过5%，而10年期英国国债收益率下降了10%，使得与之成反比的黄金获得了积极的动力。

本周，市场参与者将密切关注全球债券市场。 在英格兰银行的干预之后，英国国债市场似乎已经稳定。 但如果英国政府未能解决关于经济是否走向无法持续的债务路径的担忧，交易者可能会迅速失去信心。

On the US side, non-farm payrolls (NFP) are due this week, and traders may perceive weaker-than-expected NFP growth as an excuse to sell the US dollar, opening the door for positive activity in XAU/USD ahead of the weekend. 另一方面，如果NFP增长速度快于预期，交易者可能会增加他们在美元的多头头寸。

Meanwhile, oil was on track for its first weekly increase in 5 weeks as traders anticipate this week's Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) meeting, which might result in a production cutback plan to compensate for a weakening global economy.

专家预计产量将减少，因为利率上升和对全球经济衰退的担忧影响了油价。

Cryptocurrencies

在过去一周，加密货币的价值相对没有变化，主要代币小幅上涨和下跌。

As of Sunday, 2 October 2022, Bitcoin was trading around $19,230 after reaching its high on Friday, surpassing the $20,000 mark. 而以太坊的交易价格就在 $1,300 左右。

上周的亮点是埃隆·马斯克的短信，这些短信在他的证词之前被揭露。 In these texts he suggested transferring Twitter (TWTR) to the blockchain, paying for it, integrating Dogecoin, and partnering with Sam Bankman-Fried of cryptocurrency exchange FTX, who was eager to throw $5 billion into the Twitter offer.

In other news, a funding round of $80 million has been raised by Bitcoin payments company Strike. Strike计划推出新产品并建立合作伙伴关系，以扩大其客户基础，面向大型金融机构和企业。

通过更完善的交易策略，并在 Deriv Trader 以期权和 multipliers 交易 financial 市场以充分利用市场机会。

美国股票市场

‍

Stocks fell for the third week in a row due to turmoil in the UK financial markets and signals that the Federal Reserve (Fed) still has a long way to go in its attempts to contain inflation.

尽管美联储努力控制通胀，但用于测量价格波动的月度通胀指数上涨速度超过预期。

According to the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, excluding food and energy, consumer prices grew by 4.9% year on year (YoY) in August, up from 4.7% in the previous month.

In other news, Nike's earnings fell by 12.8% on Friday, 30 September 2022, after reporting a massive inventory growth (+44% YoY) in fiscal quarter 1 and warned of sustained gross margin pressure in fiscal quarter 2.

Energy (+1.8%) was the only sector to complete the week with a gain.

The monthly US labour market data for September is coming out this week on Friday, 7 October 2022. 经济在八月份新增315,000个职位，低于七月份的526,000个，同时失业率从3.5%上升至3.7%。

了解了上周金融市场的表现以后，现在您可以改善策略并在 Deriv MT5 交易差价合约。