Market news – Week 2, October 2022

全球金融市场在周末时失去了大部分早期的周内涨幅，强劲的美国就业报告成为焦点。

Forex

尽管最初有所上涨，但 EUR/USD 在平价处未能成功，周末收于稍低于 0.9750 美元，导致略微的周度亏损。

交易员相信全球经济衰退的可能性不断增加，将促使中央银行比预期更早降低量化紧缩的步伐。 然而，积极的情绪并未持续太久，随着对俄罗斯因非法吞并顿涅茨克、卢甘斯克、赫尔松和扎波罗热实施的更多制裁，该货币对开始失去力度。

On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) continued with its hawkish approach. There were 263 thousand new jobs added in September, which was better than expected, but the numbers were lower than the previous month. The unemployment rate fell unexpectedly to 3.5%, while the Labor Force Participation Rate decreased to 62.3% from 62.4% in August. 在经历了一系列令人沮丧的美国就业报告之后，9 月份的报告令人欣慰。

Meanwhile, the pound fell on Friday, 7 October 2022 after stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data retraced most of its weekly gains. 英国财政政策措施的脆弱状态给英镑带来了压力。 尽管英国政府试图在财政大臣夸西·克沃滕宣布减税后稳定债券市场，该货币仍然处于熊市趋势中。

In other currency news, the Australian dollar fell as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) stumbled in the fight against unpredictable inflation. 考虑到国内外持续的价格压力，上周他们将利率提高 25 基点至 2.60% 被视为鸽派。

This week's focus is all on inflation, with the September US Consumer Price Index (CPI) set to be released. 预计今年的年通胀将上升 8.1%，略高于之前的 8.3%。 此外，美国联邦储备委员会将发布最近一次会议的会议纪要。

本周将发布英国劳动市场数据，英格兰银行的评论将在每月 GDP 之前为 GBP/USD 货币对定下基调。

利用最新的市场报告改善交易策略，并在 Deriv X 账户交易差价合约。

Commodities

上周的前半部分，黄金上涨，但到了周末时大部分涨幅都被抹去。

随着市场情绪改善，黄金获得了动力，使得美元难以找到需求。 Furthermore, a nearly 5% drop in the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield on Monday, 3 October 2022, lifted XAU/USD by more than 2% – its biggest one-day gain since March 2022. 

However, the US dollar recovered its strength as the days passed, thanks to higher-than-expected non-farm payrolls in September and a decrease in unemployment rates from 3.7% to 3.5%. 回应就业报告，10 年期国债上涨约 4%，导致黄金在周末前回到 1,700 美元。

On the other hand, oil prices gained the most since early March due to a weak supply outlook that offset lingering macroeconomic concerns. 尽管需求担忧在股市中仍然备受关注，但供应担忧似乎在推动本周的市场行为。

A combination of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) cuts and the impending European sanctions on Russian crude is likely to leave the market vulnerable at the end of the year. 此外，俄罗斯上周重申，拒绝向采取美国主导的价格上限的国家出售石油，增加了供应的不确定性。

According to forecasts, the consumer price index (CPI) will increase by 8.1% year-over-year (YoY) in September, down from its August reading of 8.3%. 年核心 CPI 排除波动性大的食品和能源成本，预计今年将从 6.3% 上升至 6.5%。

Cryptocurrencies

Major cryptocurrencies experienced yet another flat week. 

On Tuesday, 4 October 2022, Bitcoin traded above the $20,000 level. However, due to a lack of trading activity, it failed to hold above that mark. 

话虽如此，比特币的市场主导地位在过去一个月中增加了 2%。 根据图表，比特币的交易价格为 19,486.54 美元，过去 7 天上涨了 1.31%。

与此同时，以太坊未能出现任何显著的波动，上周微涨 0.3%。 这第二大加密货币未能找到新的支撑位，一直在 1,300 美元范围内徘徊。 宏观经济因素似乎破坏了‘合并保护’，以太坊同样感受到了利率上升和通胀带来的压力。

Moving away from Bitcoin and Ethereum, the rest of the major cryptocurrencies traded sideways as traders moved away from riskier assets. 

通过更完善的交易策略，并在 Deriv Trader 以期权和 multipliers 交易 financial 市场以充分利用市场机会。

美国股市 

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股票指数在整个周内的涨幅大部分被抹去，因为一些数据显示经济放缓程度不足以令美联储政策制定者满意。 Oil prices surged following a pact by major producers to reduce global output, making energy the standout performer of the S&P 500 Index.

Stocks slumped on Friday, 7 October 2022, after a strong monthly employment report fueled anticipation that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 75 bps at its next meeting. 劳动力市场强劲的迹象加剧了通胀担忧。 The US Labor Department reported on Friday, 7 October 2022 that the economy added 263K jobs in September, and the unemployment rate fell to a multiyear low of 3.5%.

While last week's labour market trends were crucial, the September inflation number due on Thursday, 13 October 2022, will likely affirm or derail the quarter's promising start. 低于预期的 CPI 可能支持通胀高峰已经过去的观点，但如果指数上涨，可能会促使进一步的加息。

另一个可关注的指标将是第三季度的业绩季，这将提供有关企业盈利能力的见解。

了解了上周金融市场的表现以后，现在您可以改善策略并在 Deriv MT5 交易差价合约。