謝謝! 提交已收到!
抱歉! 提交表格時出現問題。

Market news – Week 4, July 2022

This article was updated on
This article was first published on

隨著金融市場擁抱改善的全球風險情緒,幾種資產出現了增長。 However, traders are waiting for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) results scheduled to be released this week, and the real question is – will markets be able to hold on to their gains if recession sets in?

Forex

Deriv 的 GBP/USD 走勢圖
資料來源: Bloomberg

EUR/USD ended the week at around $1.0213 while recovering from its multi-year low of $0.9951 in mid-July. 該貨幣對的上漲主要是因為華爾街本週表現優異,以及美國政府債券收益率下跌,對美元造成壓力。 

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's 'blackout' period allowed GBP/USD to recover after falling to $1.1760 – its lowest level since March 2020. Reduced bets on a 100bps rate hike combined with less hawkish commentary by Fed policymakers led to a broad correction in the US dollar. Also, the rising chances of the Bank of England raising rates by 50bps in August provided an ideal environment for GBP/USD to recover. 然而,上面的圖表顯示,對英國政治的不確定性限制了貨幣對的反彈,導致該對本週以約 $1.200 結束。

本週受到美國事件相關風險的主導,最重要的是美聯儲的政策決定。 此外,英國日曆中不包括任何高層次的宏觀新聞。 因此,英國的政治事件將繼續對 GBP 交易者至關重要。

透過最新的市場新聞提升交易策略,並在 Deriv X Financial 帳戶交易差價合約。

Commodities

Deriv 的黃金走勢圖
資料來源: Bloomberg

Gold had an excellent start to the week and recovered from its 11-month low of $1,698 before the European Central Bank increased interest rates for the first time since 2011. This dragged the metal back to below the $1,690 mark on Thursday, 21 July 2022. 

Furthermore, the minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia policy meeting, released on Tuesday, 19 July 2022, also indicated that future interest rate hikes would be necessary to bring inflation back to the target level. 因此,黃金價格進一步受到了影響。

在星期五收盤時,這種貴金屬的交易價格為 $1,727.75,幾乎重疊其 SMA 5 和 SMA 10,分別為 $1,726.18 和 $1,728.17。 

另一方面,透過北流 1 管道恢復俄羅斯天然氣供應正在改善市場信心,並緩解對潛在衰退的擔憂。 儘管因為擔心更多產出和需求減少,但這一改善仍導致油價大幅下跌。 

此外,因為疫情病例增加,中國發布了封鎖措施。 因此,限制人員和物資的流動,以及製造業活動的裁員,可能導致總需求嚴重下降。 這將對油價產生重大影響。

Cryptocurrencies

Deriv 的比特幣走勢圖
資料來源: Bloomberg

雖然加密貨幣寒冬尚未結束,但上週加密貨幣市場感受到了一些溫暖,沒有任何主要加密貨幣出現重大虧損。 In fact, Bitcoin climbed to the $24,000 level on Wednesday, 20 July 2022, its highest since mid-June. 

然而,空頭再次回歸,使比特幣回落至低於 $23,000 的區間,趨向於週末。 在撰寫本文時,其價格為 $22,748.19,稍微高於其 SMA 5 和 SMA 10,分別為 $22,731.87 和 $22,701.03。

以太坊在市場增長方面表現優於比特幣,並在上週結束前觸及 $1,600 水平,然後回落至中間的 $1,500 水平。 這一增長可歸因於以太坊合併的公告,即網絡升級,似乎促成了該次反彈。 

同時,在上週,其他加密貨幣如 Avalanche、Solana 和 Doge 分別增長了23%、9%和6%。 

拉丁美洲國家巴拉圭和哥倫比亞已經加入了加密貨幣行列,發布了公告並發表聲明以表明加密貨幣監管的意向。  

在其他加密貨幣相關新聞中,電動車製造商特斯拉上週售出了75%的比特幣持倉,價值近 $936 百萬。

透過在 DTrader上使用期權和倍數在金融市場上進行交易,從而提高市場機會,以最大限度地發揮市場機會。

美國股市

__wf_reserved_inherit
資料來源: Bloomberg

*淨變化和淨變動百分比是根據週五至週五的每週收盤價變化。

The 3 major averages posted substantial gains this week as US equity markets rebounded due to better-than-expected corporate earnings. The Dow saw a 1.95% rise, the S&P 500 experienced a 2.55% gain, and the Nasdaq climbed by 3.45%. 

根據幾份第二季度的財報,企業的利潤和前景顯示出一些韌性,儘管經濟有所放緩。 About 21% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings so far. 在這些公司中,近70%超出了分析師的預期。

本週對金融市場來說將非常充滿活動,許多重要公司(如微軟,谷歌,臉書,Apple和亞馬遜)報告了他們的收入。 聯邦開放市場佣金(FOMC)聲明和聯邦基金利率計劃於 2022 年 7 月 26 日(星期二)發布。 同時,國家的中央銀行預計將基準聯邦基金利率上調75個基點。 Furthermore, GDP results for the quarter will be released on Wednesday, 27 July 2022, which will attract a lot of attention. 

In theory, a recession is identified when the GDP of an economy falls for 2 successive quarters. 如果結果不利,將會非常有趣看到美聯儲如何解決問題。 我們將經歷一個波動性週。

Now that you’re up-to-date on how the financial markets performed last week, you can improve your strategy and trade CFDs on Deriv MT5 Financial and Financial STP accounts.

免責聲明:

Options trading, Deriv X platform, and STP Financial accounts on the MT5 platform are not available for clients residing in the EU.