Market news – Week 4, November 2022

Markets in the United States were down for the week, unable to maintain the upward momentum that followed last week's favourable Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. 同時，過去幾天美國聯邦儲備官員的鷹派言論延長了經濟的不確定性。

Forex

上週，EUR/USD 在顯示出取得動力的跡象後回落，因為全球通脹壓力的指標持續強勁。 俄羅斯與西方之間日益緊張的局勢，以及對剛出現的供應鏈困難的擔憂——這些在過去的一周內看似已得到解決——也促使了該貨幣對的下跌。

Central banks are dropping signals ahead of their monetary policy meetings in mid-December. The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that it will continue to raise rates, adding that it may need to restrict economic activity to tame inflation. 同時，美國聯邦儲備比ECB更早採取激進立場，並向限制性利率邁進，預計這將進一步降低通脹。

On the other hand, despite a lack of bullish impetus from the much-anticipated autumn budget of the United Kingdom, GBP/USD buyers remained unstoppable for the second week in a row, helping the pair maintain its upward momentum. 

Thanksgiving and Black Friday will make it a holiday-shortened week, which shall include the S&P Global providing preliminary November Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) estimates for the European Union, the United Kingdom, and the United States. 聯邦開放市場佣金（FOMC）會議紀要也將在本週發布。

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Commodities

金價在新的一周初承受中等負壓，但在周末之前能夠重新取得動力，在週末前夕出現向下修正。 本週現貨白銀價格下跌約3.7%。

The minutes of the Federal Reserve's October policy meeting, which is scheduled for November 23, as well as Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) surveys might have an impact on the US dollar's (USD) valuation and movement this week.

根據聯邦儲備的最新政策聲明，政策制定者將根據「累積緊縮、政策延遲和經濟與金融發展」的情況來做出利率提高的決策。 儘管他的評論導致有些人預期美聯儲政策收緊未來不太激進，但聯邦公開市場佣金主席傑羅姆鮑威爾指出，中央銀行專注於實現終期利率，並預計該利率將更高。

During the week, oil prices also dropped as concerns over weakening Chinese fuel demand outweighed worries that tighter EU sanctions on Russian crude exports (happening next month) could result in lower supply.

Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies have taken a massive hit following the catastrophic meltdown at FTX — which was one of the largest crypto exchanges before its unraveling — last week, thereby marking November 2022 as one of the worst months in the cryptocurrency history. The global crypto market cap now stands under USD 800 billion.

在接近一年前達到約69,000美元的歷史高點後，世界領先的加密貨幣比特幣現在幾乎下跌了75%。 在撰寫本文時，其交易價格為16,252.50美元。

Ethereum, on the other hand, is currently trading below USD 1,150, registering a fall of around 8% over the past week.

由於FTX的崩潰，大多數加密貨幣投資者似乎已對交易所和集中式平台失去信心。 Massive outflows from these platforms show the evident loss of trust, with over USD 3.7 billion worth of Bitcoin being withdrawn from exchanges along with other digital currencies. 

為減少FTX崩潰的負面影響，全球最大的加密貨幣交易所Binance正在設立一個基金，以幫助可能面臨流動性挑戰的潛在強大項目。

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美國股市 

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Most of the major indices lost a portion of the strong gains they recorded last week — when they posted their best day since 2020 — and closed modestly lower. 

The S&P 500 dropped 0.69% during the course of the week whereas Nasdaq shed 1.18%, owing to the Fed’s statements that indicated further aggressive policy tightening. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained relatively flat for the week. 

This week, the markets will look to rebound from last week’s losses and it could be fueled by the outcome of the Fed’s November policy-setting meeting. 此外，央行本月早些時候的會議報告定於周三發布。 It could give direction to the markets. 

Additionally, the third-quarter earnings head into the final stages as the earnings calendar for the coming week looks sparse. 

Traders must keep in mind that the holiday season starts this week and US stock markets will be closed Thursday, 24 November 2022, due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Furthermore, trading will end early on 25 November 2022 on account of Black Friday as markets shut at 1pm E.T.

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