Bitcoin crashes under $90K as ‘death cross’ bites

November 18, 2025
A gold Bitcoin coin submerged underwater with bubbles rising above it, symbolising Bitcoin’s market decline or a drop in value, set against a dark background.

Bitcoin slipped below 90,000 dollars on Tuesday, extending a selloff that has erased its 2025 gains and pushed sentiment toward the bleak end of the spectrum. Spot prices printed as low as 89,420 dollars, the weakest level since February, only six weeks after setting a record near 126,250 dollars.

The breakdown coincided with a bearish technical crossover known as a death cross and increasingly hesitant fund flows into U.S. spot ETFs. 

Together with macro anxiety around the rate path, these factors have tightened liquidity and amplified swings across majors. The next phase hinges on whether price can quickly reclaim lost support and whether ETF prints stabilise from recent choppiness.

What’s driving the slide

The proximate trigger is technical: Bitcoin fell back through reclaimed support near 93,700 dollars, lost its 200-day moving average, and then registered a death cross as the 50-day slipped beneath the 200-day. 

Bitcoin daily candlestick chart showing continued downtrend as the price hovers near $90,500.
Source: Deriv MT5

On its own the signal is imperfect, but in weak liquidity regimes it often coincides with multi-week drawdowns as momentum traders de-risk.

Flows add fuel. U.S. spot ETF activity has turned choppy after heavy intake earlier in the year, with trackers showing sequences of outflows or flat prints that blunt marginal demand. When the incremental demand fades, price tends to chase lower liquidity pockets until new buyers emerge. Recent dashboards corroborate the stop-start nature of ETF demand. CoinDesk+1.

The Mt. Gox repayments - a trigger, not the cause

Adding fuel to the fire, over 10,600 BTC (worth roughly $953 million) were transferred from Mt. Gox wallets on 18 November 2025, marking the first such movement in eight months. 

Screenshot of a Bitcoin transaction record showing a transfer from Mt. Gox cold wallet to another address
Source: Arkham

The long-running repayment saga, stemming from the 2014 collapse of the world’s then-largest exchange, has left creditors waiting over a decade for compensation.

While some feared that repayments could unleash fresh supply, blockchain data shows these movements were administrative, not market sales. Still, perception alone was enough to unsettle sentiment, sparking liquidations and feeding the broader risk-off tone. Analysts now estimate over 230,000 trading accounts were liquidated within 24 hours, totalling more than $1 billion in forced sell orders.

Why this matters

Sentiment has swung hard into fear. CoinDesk flagged “extreme fear” conditions into the weekend and early week, aligning with widely followed gauges that punish downside volatility and negative breadth. In past cycles, similar extremes have marked acceleration phases within larger drawdowns or short-lived exhaustion points.

The macro overlay is not helping. Traders are parsing shifting expectations for U.S. rate cuts and inflation risks tied to policy developments, a mix that reduces risk appetite and tightens crypto liquidity. Reuters’ read-across captures the mood: a near 30 percent retreat from the October peak and growing caution among institutions.

Impact on markets and participants

Price leadership rotated back to bitcoin as traders sold altcoins to manage risk, a pattern visible when social attention and volumes consolidate in the benchmark asset during stress. Ether and other large caps have tracked lower alongside, while crypto-linked equities have generally underperformed on drawdown days, transmitting crypto volatility into listed proxies.

For allocators, ETF prints serve as the cleanest real-time barometer of spot demand. Multi-day flat or negative flows often coincide with fragility in order books and heavier slippage, which is why desks are laser-focused on whether the next sequence turns positive again. If it doesn’t, the unfilled liquidity pocket toward 86,000–88,000 dollars cited by traders continues to be a live risk.

Expert outlook

CoinDesk’s market desk notes that fear spikes of this magnitude have sometimes preceded relief rallies, particularly when realised-loss pressure begins to stabilise and ETF outflows slow. That requires confirmation: a swift reclaim of broken support and evidence of renewed net inflows. Until then, technicals and positioning argue for elevated two-way volatility.

Long-horizon investors continue to point at structural adoption and institutional participation as reasons to stay constructive on multi-year horizons. Dan Tapiero, whose 50T platform backs later-stage crypto companies, frames short-term turbulence as noise against a secular build-out, a view he has reiterated while forecasting a much larger digital-asset economy over the next decade.

Bitcoin price technical insight

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) continues its downward trajectory after forming a death cross, with the 50-day moving average (MA) crossing below the 200-day MA - a classic bearish signal suggesting extended downside pressure. The price is currently hovering near $91,000, after repeatedly failing to hold above key resistance levels at $106,685, $114,000, and $124,650, where prior rallies saw heavy profit-taking and FOMO-driven buying.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped into oversold territory, indicating that selling momentum may be overextended and a short-term technical rebound could occur. However, as long as BTC remains below the 50-day MA, the broader trend remains bearish, with traders likely to view any bounce as a chance to sell into strength.

Bitcoin daily price chart showing multiple failed breakouts below resistance levels at $106,685, $114,000, and $124,650.
Source: Deriv MT5

Key takeaway

Bitcoin’s slide below $90,000 reflects a convergence of technical breakdown, hesitant ETF demand, and a risk-off macro tone. The resulting fear spike is typical of late-stage selloffs, but it needs flow confirmation before calling a durable low. Watch for a quick reclaim of the $ 90,000 - $93,000 zone and a run of positive ETF prints to validate any rebound attempt. Until then, expect elevated volatility and tighter liquidity conditions.

The performance figures quoted are not a guarantee of future performance.

常見問題

比特幣「死亡交叉」究竟是什麼,交易者又為何會有所反應?

當 50 日移動平均線跌破 200 日移動平均線時,即出現廣為關注的看跌交叉點。 在流動性薄弱的情況下,該信號會加強趨勢性賣壓,因為系統化策略進行風險降級。 歷史表現參差不齊,但此次伴隨資金流惡化,放大了這波波動。

比特幣真地在這次跌幅中抹消了2025年的漲幅嗎?

是的. 跌破九萬美元,拖累年初至今表現回落至持平,此前於十月創下接近十二萬六千二百五十美元的紀錄。 多家媒體確認了這次下滑及反轉幅度。

ETF 是否應對這波回調負責?

ETF 並非主因,但其資金流向確實重要。 當淨創造量連續數日停滯或轉為負值,即期流動性收窄,價格對賣壓變得更敏感。 指數追蹤基金在先前的急升後,近期顯示出波動加劇。

市場情緒真的處於「極度恐慌」嗎?

過去幾天的市場報導描述了極度恐慌的狀況,這與情緒指標相符,該指標懲罰下行波動性和疲弱的市場廣度。 此類極端情況可能標誌著投降,或僅僅是另一段下跌;走勢取決於資金流動和宏觀經濟因素。

近期展望有何改善因素?

兩件事:收復失守的支撐位,以及淨正向 ETF 資金流的明顯回歸。 兩者皆表示邊際買盤回歸,且強制拋售正在減緩。

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