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XRP price prediction 2025: Can XRP ride the Trump effect to $50?

XRP price prediction 2025: Can XRP ride the Trump effect to $50?

Ripple, the San Francisco-based global payments technology firm, has made a dramatic pivot that could define its future in the cryptocurrency space. Once hindered by regulatory hurdles in the United States, Ripple is now gearing up for an ambitious U.S. expansion, signaling a potential shift in its strategy. With a pro-crypto administration led by former President Donald Trump set to take office in January 2025, Ripple’s bold moves and XRP’s future price potential have investors asking a critical question: Can Ripple’s strategic shift and the “Trump effect” push XRP to an ambitious $50 target?

Ripple’s strategic U.S. comeback

For years, Ripple appeared ready to abandon the U.S. market due to the regulatory battles that culminated in a high-profile lawsuit with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Under former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s leadership, Ripple faced immense scrutiny, with XRP’s status as a security hotly contested. At the height of this regulatory uncertainty, Ripple was mulling relocating its global headquarters to more crypto-friendly jurisdictions, with 95% of its customers already operating outside the United States.

Fast-forward to late 2024, and Ripple’s narrative has taken a dramatic turn. CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced that 75% of Ripple’s new job listings are now targeted at U.S.-based recruits, marking a clear shift in strategy. These positions, largely focused on engineering and product development, underscore Ripple’s commitment to scaling innovation on American soil. This pivot isn’t just about jobs; it’s about staking a claim in what could become a more crypto-friendly U.S. market.

Adding to the intrigue, Garlinghouse recently dined with President Donald Trump and Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty. In a post on social media platform X, Garlinghouse credited the incoming administration as a game-changer for the crypto industry, coining the term “Trump effect.” He emphasized that Trump’s policies are already jumpstarting innovation and job growth in the U.S., signaling a dramatic departure from the regulatory freeze that Ripple faced in the past.

The “Trump effect” and XRP’s prospects

Trump’s pro-crypto stance has created a wave of optimism across the cryptocurrency landscape. Analysts believe that his administration’s regulatory clarity could be a catalyst for institutional investors to enter the XRP market. Ripple’s U.S. expansion is poised to take advantage of this shift, especially with the prospect of an XRP-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) on the horizon.

Historically, ETF approvals have been transformative for cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin, for instance, saw a significant rally after the approval of its first ETFs in 2021 and 2024. Similarly, rumors are circulating that BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager with $12 trillion under management, may allocate a portion of its portfolio to XRP. Even a small investment from such a financial behemoth could send XRP prices soaring.

At least four firms, including WisdomTree and Bitwise, have already filed applications for XRP ETFs, and analysts are optimistic about their approval under a pro-crypto SEC led by Paul Atkins, Trump’s pick for SEC Chair. If approved, these ETFs could provide institutional investors with a seamless entry point into the XRP market, further boosting demand and legitimacy.

XRP as a bridge for CBDCs

Another factor fueling optimism for XRP is its potential role in the global financial system. Central banks worldwide are racing to develop Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), and Ripple’s XRP Ledger could serve as the perfect bridge between these currencies. XRP’s fast transaction speeds, low costs, and scalability make it a prime candidate for cross-border payments in the decentralized finance (DeFi) era.

According to analysts, if Ripple succeeds in positioning XRP as the backbone of CBDC interoperability, the token’s utility and demand could skyrocket. This foundational use case aligns with Ripple’s long-standing mission of facilitating efficient global payments and could serve as a critical driver for its ambitious $50 price target.

Price headwinds on the horizon

While the outlook for Ripple and XRP appears promising, it’s essential to temper optimism with caution. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and XRP’s price movements have historically been subject to significant fluctuations. For instance, long-term investors offloaded over $467 million worth of XRP in early January 2025, as tracked by the Dormant Circulation Supply chart from Santiment. Such sell-offs can dilute market supply and create downward pressure on prices.

XRP price vs dormant circulation chart showing trends from December 2024 to January 2025 on Santiment.
Source: Santiment

Moreover, XRP’s ambitious $50 target hinges on multiple factors aligning seamlessly:

  • The successful approval and adoption of XRP ETFs.
  • Institutional investment from major players like BlackRock.
  • Ripple’s ability to capitalize on CBDC opportunities.
  • A consistently pro-crypto regulatory environment under Trump’s administration.

Any deviation from these factors could impact XRP’s trajectory, reminding investors that nothing in the crypto market is guaranteed.

2025: A make-or-break year for XRP?

As Ripple doubles down on its U.S. strategy and prepares to leverage the Trump administration’s pro-crypto policies, the stakes for XRP have never been higher. The combination of ETF approvals, institutional interest, and CBDC integration could propel XRP into uncharted territory. However, the journey to $50 will be anything but smooth, with market volatility and execution risks looming large.

For XRP holders, the “Trump effect” represents a unique opportunity to ride a potential wave of regulatory clarity and institutional adoption. As 2025 unfolds, all eyes will be on Ripple’s roadmap and its ability to deliver on its ambitious vision. One thing is certain: Ripple’s big U.S. bet has made XRP one of the most closely watched cryptocurrencies of the year.

At the time of writing, XRP is hovering just below $2.5000. Buy pressure appears dominant on the weekly chart, though the last few weeks have produced sell candles that hint at upward momentum slowdown. Prices staying elevated above the 100-day moving average hint at possible further buy pressure, however RSI edging towards the overbought territory hints at potential easing. 

Buyers could find resistance at the $2.4965 and $2.6782 price levels. On the downside, sellers could be held at the $2.2102 and $2.0000 price levels.

XRP price chart for Ripple vs USD showing support and resistance levels with RSI and 100-day moving average analysis.
Source: Deriv MT5

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Disclaimer: 

The information contained in this blog is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice. It is considered accurate and correct at the date of publication by the sources. Changes in circumstances after the time of publication may impact the accuracy of the information.

The performance figures quoted refer to the past, and past performance is not a guarantee of future performance or a reliable guide to future performance.

The performance figures quoted are only estimates and may not be a reliable indicator of future performance.

We recommend you do your own research before making any trading decisions.