Fibonacci retracement levels: The secret sauce to spotting market moves

7
min read

Fibonacci retracement levels: The secret sauce to spotting market moves

7
min read
Glowing red Fibonacci spiral inside a glass block, symbolising retracement levels used in technical trading analysis.
Lesson
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minutes

Fibonacci retracements are a go-to tool for many traders. Why? Because they help spot potential market turning points using simple math (thanks, Leonardo Fibonacci!). Let’s break it down in a way that actually makes sense-no math degree required!

What’s the deal with Fibonacci numbers?

Fibonacci numbers come from a sequence discovered by the mathematician Leonardo Bonacci. The pattern starts with 0 and 1, and each new number is the sum of the two before it: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21… and so on.

This pattern shows up everywhere in nature-from the spirals of seashells to the way sunflower seeds are arranged. And, as it turns out, financial markets seem to follow these same proportions. Pretty cool, right?

How Fibonacci retracement levels work

The Fibonacci retracement tool draws seven horizontal lines on a price chart, pinpointing where support or resistance levels might pop up after a price swing. These key levels are:

  • 0% (starting point of the trend)
  • 23.6%
  • 38.2%
  • 50% (not officially a Fibonacci number, but traders love it)
  • 61.8% (the golden ratio, aka the magic number)
  • 78.6%
  • 100% (end of the trend)

How do you use them? Simple. Find a big price move (up or down), and the retracement levels will help predict where the price might take a breather or reverse.

A candlestick chart displaying the Fibonacci level.

Spotting Fibonacci levels in action

Let’s say the price of an asset shoots up from $100 to $200. If it retraces (aka pulls back), you might expect support around key Fibonacci levels. For example, a 50% retracement means the price could dip to $150 before bouncing back.

Different levels mean different things:

  • 23.6% - 38.2%: Quick retracements, often in strong trends.
  • 50% - 61.8%: Key zones where price tends to stall or reverse.
  • 78.6% - 100%: Deeper pullbacks, potential trend reversals.
Infographic displaying how to calculate Fibonacci retracement.

How to use Fibonacci retracements in trading

Most trading platforms (including Deriv MT5) have a built-in Fibonacci tool. You can find it under: Insert > Fibonacci > Fibonacci Retracement.

Deriv MT5 terminal displaying the menu options to find the Fibonacci retracement tool.

Ways to use Fibonacci retracement levels:

  • With support/resistance: If a Fibonacci level aligns with previous highs/lows, that zone becomes even more significant.
  • With moving averages: A retracement to a moving average (like the 50-day MA) can confirm a reversal.
  • With candlestick patterns: A bullish engulfing candle near the 61.8% level? That’s a strong signal. 
  • Across timeframes: Zoom out to see major levels that bigger traders might be watching.
  • With RSI or Stochastics: Oversold at a key Fibonacci level? That’s a potential buy signal.

Quiz

A stock jumps from $50 to $100. Where is the 50% retracement level?

?
$75
?
$50
?
$25
?

FAQs

Do Fibonacci retracement levels always work?

Not always! While they can highlight potential support and resistance areas, they’re not foolproof. Market conditions, news events, and trader sentiment can all influence price action. That’s why it’s best to use Fibonacci retracements alongside other technical indicators like RSI, moving averages, or candlestick patterns.

Can Fibonacci retracement levels be used for all assets?

Yes! Fibonacci retracements work on stocks, forex, crypto, commodities-you name it. The key is finding strong price swings to apply the tool effectively.

What’s the difference between Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension?

Fibonacci retracement helps identify potential pullback levels within an existing trend, while Fibonacci extension levels predict where price might go beyond its current range. Extensions are useful for setting profit targets in trending markets.